Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 3.235114 3.421899 3.620333 3.847982 4.103390 4.382854 4.714213
2025-05-04 3.041394 3.307027 3.604496 3.966599 4.401659 4.916105 5.584307
2025-05-11 2.853390 3.169856 3.539407 4.012037 4.615172 5.382202 6.475050
2025-05-18 2.671120 3.017852 3.436566 3.994571 4.745142 5.766187 7.362024
2025-05-25 2.471824 2.826052 3.264195 3.866060 4.708890 5.919259 7.968410
2025-06-01 2.333626 2.698057 3.159234 3.811783 4.763521 6.210813 8.893319
2025-06-08 2.222900 2.595853 3.077656 3.778335 4.840775 6.551678 10.048672
2025-06-15 2.143590 2.528025 3.034977 3.793129 4.990745 7.045381 11.770493
2025-06-22 2.041663 2.423315 2.933440 3.710752 4.973731 7.241429 12.960631
2025-06-29 1.937606 2.309864 2.812052 3.587264 4.872171 7.257117 13.720270
2025-07-06 1.860161 2.228500 2.730643 3.517430 4.852240 7.430776 15.094791
2025-07-13 1.826890 2.205602 2.730501 3.572828 5.057551 8.128897 19.017593
2025-07-20 1.787264 2.176576 2.726398 3.633504 5.307390 9.085784 26.613025
2025-07-27 1.760457 2.164268 2.746464 3.737407 5.666827 10.530766 46.146232
2025-08-03 1.719100 2.128791 2.728990 3.776151 5.907238 11.838107 94.361743
2025-08-10 1.668240 2.076823 2.682524 3.759134 6.026703 12.880277 295.885004
2025-08-17 1.599817 1.995963 2.586077 3.643092 5.901879 12.982740 1099.652656
2025-08-24 1.550555 1.941477 2.528526 3.593748 5.927058 13.731666 NaN
2025-08-31 1.508780 1.896338 2.483324 3.563265 5.993487 14.753673 NaN
2025-09-07 1.478581 1.867208 2.462163 3.576221 6.173060 16.569468 NaN
2025-09-14 1.433701 1.814039 2.398871 3.501996 6.111890 17.064956 NaN
2025-09-21 1.384427 1.752606 2.319415 3.390658 5.935429 16.756848 NaN
2025-09-28 1.346888 1.707976 2.266022 3.327539 5.883107 17.243668 NaN